Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Up 63%
1 arb excluded
$601.95
-$68.92
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.5Β’ | $512.15 | $500 | -$4.11 | 54% 3405-2902 (6307) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 42.1Β’ | $91.14 | $58 | -$33.14 | 50% 3063-3014 (6077) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 42.1Β’ | $46.5 | β | -$46.5 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 77Β’ | $44.64 | $58 | +$13.36 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 80.3Β’ | $60.36 | $19.2 | -$3.72 | 54% 2271-1956 (4227) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 74.5Β’ | $10.25 | $13.75 | +$3.5 | 59% 3605-2478 (6083) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 43Β’ | $2.58 | $6 | +$3.42 | 42% 1619-2223 (3842) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 50% 2339-2380 (4719) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 32Β’ | $1.6 | β | -$1.6 | 49% 1477-1548 (3025) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 47Β’ | $0.34 | β | -$0.34 | 43% 2013-2620 (4633) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $0.08 | β | -$0.08 | 47% 2019-2253 (4272) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.4Β’ | $62.14 | β | -$62.14 | 58% 3596-2603 (6199) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 26Β’ | $3.9 | β | -$3.9 | 47% 2103-2356 (4459) |
Invested
$512.15
Value
$500
PnL
-$4.11
Record
54%
3405-2902 (6307)
Invested
$91.14
Value
$58
PnL
-$33.14
Record
50%
3063-3014 (6077)
Both legs:
Invested
$60.36
Value
$19.2
PnL
-$3.72
Record
54%
2271-1956 (4227)
Invested
$10.25
Value
$13.75
PnL
+$3.5
Record
59%
3605-2478 (6083)
Invested
$2.58
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.42
Record
42%
1619-2223 (3842)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
50%
2339-2380 (4719)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
β
PnL
-$1.6
Record
49%
1477-1548 (3025)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.34
Value
β
PnL
-$0.34
Record
43%
2013-2620 (4633)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
β
PnL
-$0.08
Record
47%
2019-2253 (4272)
Invested
$62.14
Value
β
PnL
-$62.14
Record
58%
3596-2603 (6199)
Invested
$3.9
Value
β
PnL
-$3.9
Record
47%
2103-2356 (4459)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Up β $19.2
aaa221
Up β $13.75
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $6
dvasdkasodk
Up β $5

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0

G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown β $0

ohioism
CTRDown β $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown β $0