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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

$237.37

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$823.02

Total Shares823

Combined PnL+$255.67

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares30

Combined PnL-$18.3

Down — 78%Up — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$508.16	$497.34	+$4.73	54% 3405-2902 (6307)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$248.67	$497.34	+$252.93
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.6¢	$248.2	—	-$248.2
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 65.4¢	$244.96	$374.84	+$129.88	58% 3596-2603 (6199)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 74.7¢	$247.64	$299	+$51.36	50% 3063-3014 (6077)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 47.1¢	$42.93	$88.91	+$45.98	49% 1477-1548 (3025)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$45.63	$48.89	+$25.14	54% 2271-1956 (4227)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 46.1¢	$27.91	—	-$17.25	59% 3605-2478 (6083)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.91	$4.96	+$0.05	98% 3591-73 (3664)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 49¢	$2.94	$6	+$3.06	42% 1619-2223 (3842)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	50% 2339-2380 (4719)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 53¢	$0.23	$0.43	+$0.2	50% 2222-2217 (4439)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$508.16

Value

$497.34

PnL

+$4.73

Record

54%

3405-2902 (6307)

Both legs:

Down$248.6750¢+$252.93

Up$248.249.6¢-$248.2

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$244.96

Value

$374.84

PnL

+$129.88

Record

58%

3596-2603 (6199)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$247.64

Value

$299

PnL

+$51.36

Record

50%

3063-3014 (6077)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$42.93

Value

$88.91

PnL

+$45.98

Record

49%

1477-1548 (3025)

Invested

$45.63

Value

$48.89

PnL

+$25.14

Record

54%

2271-1956 (4227)

Invested

$27.91

Value

—

PnL

-$17.25

Record

59%

3605-2478 (6083)

Invested

$4.91

Value

$4.96

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

3591-73 (3664)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$2.94

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.06

Record

42%

1619-2223 (3842)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

50%

2339-2380 (4719)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$0.23

Value

$0.43

PnL

+$0.2

Record

50%

2222-2217 (4439)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x4dd7cf12...8936bb

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794675600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $374.84

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $299

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $88.91

ply-pm2

Down — $48.89

aaa221

Up — $0

hoodquant

Down — $4.96

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0.43

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