Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 64%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
$98.96
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 63.7¢ | $590.39 | $586.48 | -$3.91 | 50% 3063-3014 (6077) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $526.22 | $494.83 | +$10.13 | 54% 3405-2902 (6307) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.9¢ | $246.94 | $494.83 | +$254.33 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 48.5¢ | $244.72 | — | -$244.2 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 73.8¢ | $206.39 | $279.48 | +$73.09 | 58% 3596-2603 (6199) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 59.4¢ | $100.22 | $92.58 | +$24.6 | 54% 2271-1956 (4227) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $32.91 | — | -$29.99 | 59% 3605-2478 (6083) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 44.8¢ | $31.27 | $60 | +$28.73 | 50% 2222-2217 (4439) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $4.8 | $15 | +$10.2 | 43% 2013-2620 (4633) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $6.05 | $5.05 | -$1 | 50% 2339-2380 (4719) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 44.8¢ | $4.05 | $9.06 | +$5 | 49% 1477-1548 (3025) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.8¢ | $2.14 | — | -$2.14 | 47% 2019-2253 (4272) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.5¢ | $3.72 | — | -$3.72 | 42% 1619-2223 (3842) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 47% 2103-2356 (4459) |
Invested
$590.39
Value
$586.48
PnL
-$3.91
Record
50%
3063-3014 (6077)
Invested
$526.22
Value
$494.83
PnL
+$10.13
Record
54%
3405-2902 (6307)
Both legs:
Invested
$206.39
Value
$279.48
PnL
+$73.09
Record
58%
3596-2603 (6199)
Invested
$100.22
Value
$92.58
PnL
+$24.6
Record
54%
2271-1956 (4227)
Invested
$32.91
Value
—
PnL
-$29.99
Record
59%
3605-2478 (6083)
Invested
$31.27
Value
$60
PnL
+$28.73
Record
50%
2222-2217 (4439)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$15
PnL
+$10.2
Record
43%
2013-2620 (4633)
Invested
$6.05
Value
$5.05
PnL
-$1
Record
50%
2339-2380 (4719)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$4.05
Value
$9.06
PnL
+$5
Record
49%
1477-1548 (3025)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.14
Value
—
PnL
-$2.14
Record
47%
2019-2253 (4272)
Invested
$3.72
Value
—
PnL
-$3.72
Record
42%
1619-2223 (3842)
Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
47%
2103-2356 (4459)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $586.48
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $279.48
ply-pm2
Down — $92.58
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $60
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $15
dvasdkasodk
Down — $5.05
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $9.06
ohioism
CTRUp — $0