Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
$116.12
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.1Β’ | $509.91 | $500 | +$0.5 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.1Β’ | $250.5 | β | -$249.6 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $249.41 | $500 | +$250.1 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 78.1Β’ | $251.55 | $322 | +$70.45 | 58% 3585-2599 (6184) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 57.7Β’ | $106.33 | $176.13 | +$69.81 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $65.16 | $65.23 | +$0.07 | 52% 1352-1265 (2617) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 53.8Β’ | $26.9 | $40 | +$13.1 | 54% 2251-1949 (4200) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 55.9Β’ | $10.72 | β | -$10.72 | 59% 3587-2446 (6033) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.2Β’ | $26.53 | β | -$26.53 | 42% 1609-2196 (3805) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 37% 1317-2199 (3516) |
Invested
$509.91
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.5
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Both legs:
Invested
$251.55
Value
$322
PnL
+$70.45
Record
58%
3585-2599 (6184)
Invested
$106.33
Value
$176.13
PnL
+$69.81
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
Invested
$65.16
Value
$65.23
PnL
+$0.07
Record
52%
1352-1265 (2617)
Invested
$26.9
Value
$40
PnL
+$13.1
Record
54%
2251-1949 (4200)
Invested
$10.72
Value
β
PnL
-$10.72
Record
59%
3587-2446 (6033)
Invested
$26.53
Value
β
PnL
-$26.53
Record
42%
1609-2196 (3805)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1317-2199 (3516)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $322
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $176.13
0x50f7
Down β $65.23
ply-pm2
Down β $40
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0