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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Down 45%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$10.27

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 11 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$613.63

Total Shares614

Combined PnL+$24.71

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares150

Combined PnL-$34.98

Down — 45%Up — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.7¢	$511.67	$490	-$0.6	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.7¢	$248.4	—	-$249.8
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.7¢	$243.4	$490	+$249.2
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 63.2¢	$426.9	$437.34	+$10.44	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$78.92	$79	+$0.08	52% 1352-1265 (2617)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 70¢	$80.91	$63.61	+$6.77	54% 2251-1949 (4200)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 38.3¢	$16.78	—	-$16.78	59% 3587-2446 (6033)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 49.6¢	$12.25	$24.69	+$12.44	50% 1846-1828 (3674)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 73.8¢	$98.02	$9	-$5.02	58% 3585-2599 (6184)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 12.2¢	$9.67	—	-$9.67	49% 1453-1538 (2991)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 18¢	$2.88	—	-$2.88	47% 2043-2283 (4326)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 18¢	$1.8	—	-$1.8	47% 1998-2233 (4231)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 35¢	$2.1	—	-$2.1	42% 1609-2196 (3805)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 35¢	$1.75	—	-$1.75	49% 2315-2365 (4680)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$511.67

Value

$490

PnL

-$0.6

Record

54%

3373-2881 (6254)

Both legs:

Up$248.449.7¢-$249.8

Down$243.449.7¢+$249.2

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$426.9

Value

$437.34

PnL

+$10.44

Record

50%

3041-2991 (6032)

Invested

$78.92

Value

$79

PnL

+$0.08

Record

52%

1352-1265 (2617)

Invested

$80.91

Value

$63.61

PnL

+$6.77

Record

54%

2251-1949 (4200)

Invested

$16.78

Value

—

PnL

-$16.78

Record

59%

3587-2446 (6033)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$12.25

Value

$24.69

PnL

+$12.44

Record

50%

1846-1828 (3674)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$98.02

Value

$9

PnL

-$5.02

Record

58%

3585-2599 (6184)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$9.67

Value

—

PnL

-$9.67

Record

49%

1453-1538 (2991)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$2.88

Value

—

PnL

-$2.88

Record

47%

2043-2283 (4326)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

47%

1998-2233 (4231)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

42%

1609-2196 (3805)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.75

Value

—

PnL

-$1.75

Record

49%

2315-2365 (4680)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 11 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6283157e...2da90b

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794671100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $437.34

0x50f7

Down — $79

ply-pm2

Down — $63.61

aaa221

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $24.69

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $9

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

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