Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 56%
1 arb excluded
$780.1
$36.67
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $500.77 | $496.78 | -$1.35 | 54% 3273-2778 (6051) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $248.39 | $496.78 | +$249.42 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $250.77 | β | -$250.77 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 71.8Β’ | $98.33 | $112 | +$27.07 | 58% 3558-2569 (6127) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 79.3Β’ | $64.01 | $72.54 | +$8.53 | 50% 2116-2116 (4232) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 81Β’ | $51.03 | $63 | +$11.97 | 48% 1394-1507 (2901) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $20.62 | $20.64 | +$0.02 | 51% 1315-1249 (2564) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 23.2Β’ | $43.79 | β | -$9.23 | 54% 2198-1898 (4096) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 38Β’ | $5.75 | $15.14 | +$9.39 | 60% 3515-2365 (5880) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | $3.9 | β | -$3.9 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $4 | β | -$4 | 44% 1940-2509 (4449) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $3.18 | β | -$3.18 | 42% 1520-2127 (3647) |
Invested
$500.77
Value
$496.78
PnL
-$1.35
Record
54%
3273-2778 (6051)
Both legs:
Invested
$98.33
Value
$112
PnL
+$27.07
Record
58%
3558-2569 (6127)
Invested
$64.01
Value
$72.54
PnL
+$8.53
Record
50%
2116-2116 (4232)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$51.03
Value
$63
PnL
+$11.97
Record
48%
1394-1507 (2901)
Invested
$20.62
Value
$20.64
PnL
+$0.02
Record
51%
1315-1249 (2564)
Invested
$43.79
Value
β
PnL
-$9.23
Record
54%
2198-1898 (4096)
Invested
$5.75
Value
$15.14
PnL
+$9.39
Record
60%
3515-2365 (5880)
Invested
$3.9
Value
β
PnL
-$3.9
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4
Value
β
PnL
-$4
Record
44%
1940-2509 (4449)
Invested
$3.18
Value
β
PnL
-$3.18
Record
42%
1520-2127 (3647)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $112
uninformedfloww
Down β $72.54

cryingbabydicer87
Down β $63
0x50f7
Down β $20.64
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $15.14
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0