Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 25%
2 arb excluded
$940.13
$77.76
Smart Money Signal
2 of 8 top traders (25%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $516.87 | $495.02 | -$9.25 | 54% 3273-2778 (6051) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $253.61 | β | -$254.71 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.1Β’ | $248.22 | $495.02 | +$245.46 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 48.5Β’ | $202.18 | $400 | +$207.82 | 58% 3558-2569 (6127) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 52.6Β’ | $77.6 | $30.11 | -$40.04 | 54% 2198-1898 (4096) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 52.6Β’ | $50.9 | β | -$51.99 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 56Β’ | $16.86 | $30.11 | +$11.95 | |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 51.3Β’ | $56.45 | β | -$56.45 | 50% 2116-2116 (4232) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.5Β’ | $45.67 | β | -$45.67 | 48% 1394-1507 (2901) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $17.6 | $15 | -$2.6 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $11.25 | β | -$11.25 | 47% 1952-2164 (4116) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.6Β’ | $4.03 | β | -$4.03 | 42% 1520-2127 (3647) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.4Β’ | $4.66 | β | -$4.66 | 37% 1289-2149 (3438) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 54Β’ | $5.4 | β | -$5.4 | 47% 1973-2229 (4202) |
Invested
$516.87
Value
$495.02
PnL
-$9.25
Record
54%
3273-2778 (6051)
Both legs:
Invested
$202.18
Value
$400
PnL
+$207.82
Record
58%
3558-2569 (6127)
Invested
$77.6
Value
$30.11
PnL
-$40.04
Record
54%
2198-1898 (4096)
Both legs:
Invested
$56.45
Value
β
PnL
-$56.45
Record
50%
2116-2116 (4232)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$45.67
Value
β
PnL
-$45.67
Record
48%
1394-1507 (2901)
Invested
$17.6
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.6
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$11.25
Value
β
PnL
-$11.25
Record
47%
1952-2164 (4116)
Invested
$4.03
Value
β
PnL
-$4.03
Record
42%
1520-2127 (3647)
Invested
$4.66
Value
β
PnL
-$4.66
Record
37%
1289-2149 (3438)
Invested
$5.4
Value
β
PnL
-$5.4
Record
47%
1973-2229 (4202)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $400
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $15

ohioism
CTRUp β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0