Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$565.58
$3.54
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.4Β’ | $504.44 | $499.58 | -$3.24 | 54% 3273-2778 (6051) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.4Β’ | $251.63 | $499.58 | +$247.19 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $250.43 | β | -$250.43 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 73.2Β’ | $50.66 | $40 | +$0.18 | 54% 2198-1898 (4096) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 58Β’ | $11.6 | $20 | +$8.4 | 60% 3515-2365 (5880) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 34Β’ | $2.04 | $6 | +$3.96 | 42% 1520-2127 (3647) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 36Β’ | $1.8 | β | -$1.8 | 50% 2116-2116 (4232) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 34Β’ | $3.4 | β | -$3.4 | 47% 1973-2229 (4202) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $7.8 | β | -$3.8 | 58% 3558-2569 (6127) |
Invested
$504.44
Value
$499.58
PnL
-$3.24
Record
54%
3273-2778 (6051)
Both legs:
Invested
$50.66
Value
$40
PnL
+$0.18
Record
54%
2198-1898 (4096)
Invested
$11.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.4
Record
60%
3515-2365 (5880)
Invested
$2.04
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.96
Record
42%
1520-2127 (3647)
Invested
$1.8
Value
β
PnL
-$1.8
Record
50%
2116-2116 (4232)
Invested
$3.4
Value
β
PnL
-$3.4
Record
47%
1973-2229 (4202)
Invested
$7.8
Value
β
PnL
-$3.8
Record
58%
3558-2569 (6127)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Down β $40
aaa221
Down β $20
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down β $6
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp β $0