Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Down 80%
1 arb excluded
$609.3
$12.8
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $507.46 | $497 | -$7.13 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.3Β’ | $250.11 | $497 | +$245.19 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $252.32 | β | -$252.32 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 72.7Β’ | $67.93 | $63.67 | -$4.26 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 30.9Β’ | $8.04 | $26 | +$17.96 | 42% 1499-2108 (3607) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82Β’ | $14.48 | $10.63 | -$1.82 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 74Β’ | $8.88 | $12 | +$3.12 | 71% 1474-604 (2078) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 22Β’ | $2.2 | β | -$2.2 | 58% 3554-2561 (6115) |
Invested
$507.46
Value
$497
PnL
-$7.13
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Both legs:
Invested
$67.93
Value
$63.67
PnL
-$4.26
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
Invested
$8.04
Value
$26
PnL
+$17.96
Record
42%
1499-2108 (3607)
Invested
$14.48
Value
$10.63
PnL
-$1.82
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$8.88
Value
$12
PnL
+$3.12
Record
71%
1474-604 (2078)
Invested
$2.2
Value
β
PnL
-$2.2
Record
58%
3554-2561 (6115)