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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 44%

Total Value

$278.89

Combined PnL

-$523.29

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares878

Combined PnL-$535.49

Down5 traders

Total Value$278.89

Total Shares279

Combined PnL+$12.21

Up — 44%Down — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 49.3¢	$501.17	—	-$501.17	54% 3248-2750 (5998)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$198	$200	+$2	98% 3400-72 (3472)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 67.9¢	$71.15	$47.14	+$0.23	54% 2187-1881 (4068)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 79¢	$18.22	$23.07	+$4.85	50% 2099-2099 (4198)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 44¢	$3.23	$7.35	+$4.12	42% 1499-2108 (3607)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 7.7¢	$1.44	—	-$1.44	49% 2245-2302 (4547)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 24¢	$0.32	$1.33	+$1.01	47% 1960-2212 (4172)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 9.4¢	$32.77	—	-$32.77	58% 3554-2561 (6115)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 10¢	$0.11	—	-$0.11	48% 1389-1500 (2889)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$501.17

Value

—

PnL

-$501.17

Record

54%

3248-2750 (5998)

Invested

$198

Value

$200

PnL

+$2

Record

98%

3400-72 (3472)

Invested

$71.15

Value

$47.14

PnL

+$0.23

Record

54%

2187-1881 (4068)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$18.22

Value

$23.07

PnL

+$4.85

Record

50%

2099-2099 (4198)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$3.23

Value

$7.35

PnL

+$4.12

Record

42%

1499-2108 (3607)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.44

Value

—

PnL

-$1.44

Record

49%

2245-2302 (4547)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$0.32

Value

$1.33

PnL

+$1.01

Record

47%

1960-2212 (4172)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$32.77

Value

—

PnL

-$32.77

Record

58%

3554-2561 (6115)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.11

Value

—

PnL

-$0.11

Record

48%

1389-1500 (2889)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x7cb88a4e...4c851d

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794656700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

hoodquant

Down — $200

ply-pm2

Down — $47.14

uninformedfloww

Down — $23.07

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $7.35

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $1.33

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

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