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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 33%
Total Value
$163.31
Combined PnL
-$675.12
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares679
Combined PnL-$772.28
Up4 traders
Total Value$163.31
Total Shares163
Combined PnL+$97.16
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.6¢ | $508.24 | — | -$492.87 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 82.8¢ | $303.3 | — | -$279.41 | 51% 2975-2913 (5888) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 17.2¢ | $25.53 | $110.85 | +$95.32 | 58% 3554-2561 (6115) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $97.83 | $26.33 | -$1.8 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.8¢ | $21.45 | $20.13 | -$1.32 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 87.5¢ | $10.84 | $6 | +$4.96 | 42% 1499-2108 (3607) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$508.24
Value
—
PnL
-$492.87
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTRInvested
$303.3
Value
—
PnL
-$279.41
Record
51%
2975-2913 (5888)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eInvested
$25.53
Value
$110.85
PnL
+$95.32
Record
58%
3554-2561 (6115)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$97.83
Value
$26.33
PnL
-$1.8
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$21.45
Value
$20.13
PnL
-$1.32
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$10.84
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.96
Record
42%
1499-2108 (3607)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0d060c35...8d5ebe
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794655800