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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$811.22

Combined PnL

-$33.44

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$311.23

Total Shares311

Combined PnL-$11.64

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares99

Combined PnL-$21.8

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.2¢	$512.91	$500	+$3.7	54% 3222-2710 (5932)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.2¢	$251.08	$500	+$250.7
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.4¢	$246.94	—	-$247
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 69.3¢	$221.87	$206.32	-$4.6	51% 2945-2881 (5826)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 74.6¢	$96.64	$71.91	-$2.16	54% 2171-1861 (4032)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 76¢	$28.84	$19	-$9.84	50% 2078-2073 (4151)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98¢	$7.84	$8	+$0.16	98% 3371-72 (3443)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 15¢	$2.8	—	-$2.8	48% 1378-1482 (2860)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 20¢	$1.2	$6	+$4.8	41% 1475-2082 (3557)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 24.2¢	$15.75	—	-$15.75	58% 3542-2552 (6094)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1273-2122 (3395)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 32¢	$3.2	—	-$3.2	47% 1993-2245 (4238)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$512.91

Value

$500

PnL

+$3.7

Record

54%

3222-2710 (5932)

Both legs:

Down$251.0850.2¢+$250.7

Up$246.9449.4¢-$247

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$221.87

Value

$206.32

PnL

-$4.6

Record

51%

2945-2881 (5826)

Invested

$96.64

Value

$71.91

PnL

-$2.16

Record

54%

2171-1861 (4032)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$28.84

Value

$19

PnL

-$9.84

Record

50%

2078-2073 (4151)

Invested

$7.84

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.16

Record

98%

3371-72 (3443)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$2.8

Value

—

PnL

-$2.8

Record

48%

1378-1482 (2860)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.8

Record

41%

1475-2082 (3557)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$15.75

Value

—

PnL

-$15.75

Record

58%

3542-2552 (6094)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1273-2122 (3395)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$3.2

Value

—

PnL

-$3.2

Record

47%

1993-2245 (4238)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x46402eba...c8b148

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794654900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $206.32

ply-pm2

Down — $71.91

uninformedfloww

Down — $19

hoodquant

Down — $8

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

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