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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 88%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$878.39

Combined PnL

$21.03

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$383.36

Total Shares383

Combined PnL+$37.72

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares50

Combined PnL-$16.69

Down — 89%Up — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$512.7	$495.03	+$1.75	54% 3204-2681 (5885)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.7¢	$245.91	$495.03	+$250.95
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$247.3	—	-$249.2
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 63.4¢	$156.81	$158	+$5.59	51% 2935-2874 (5809)
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 62.5¢	$106.12	$107.31	+$10.45	54% 2156-1847 (4003)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 99¢	$36.63	$37	+$0.37	50% 1753-1753 (3506)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 62.9¢	$28.41	$35	+$6.59	50% 2066-2059 (4125)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 84.2¢	$22.74	$27	+$4.26	48% 1372-1476 (2848)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 68¢	$4.79	$7.04	+$2.25	38% 1272-2117 (3389)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 31.7¢	$3.8	$12	+$8.2	42% 1466-2059 (3525)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 33.4¢	$16.69	—	-$16.69	58% 3538-2545 (6083)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 32¢	$0	$0.01	+$0.01	47% 1977-2239 (4216)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$512.7

Value

$495.03

PnL

+$1.75

Record

54%

3204-2681 (5885)

Both legs:

Down$245.9149.7¢+$250.95

Up$247.349.9¢-$249.2

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$156.81

Value

$158

PnL

+$5.59

Record

51%

2935-2874 (5809)

Invested

$106.12

Value

$107.31

PnL

+$10.45

Record

54%

2156-1847 (4003)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$36.63

Value

$37

PnL

+$0.37

Record

50%

1753-1753 (3506)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$28.41

Value

$35

PnL

+$6.59

Record

50%

2066-2059 (4125)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$22.74

Value

$27

PnL

+$4.26

Record

48%

1372-1476 (2848)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$4.79

Value

$7.04

PnL

+$2.25

Record

38%

1272-2117 (3389)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$3.8

Value

$12

PnL

+$8.2

Record

42%

1466-2059 (3525)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$16.69

Value

—

PnL

-$16.69

Record

58%

3538-2545 (6083)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$0

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$0.01

Record

47%

1977-2239 (4216)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb38a4a80...8b8afa

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794651300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $158

ply-pm2

Down — $107.31

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $37

uninformedfloww

Down — $35

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $27

antsaslyku

Down — $7.04

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $12

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0.01

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