Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Up 71%
$175.67
-$516.86
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3204-2681 (5885) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 83.5¢ | $116.03 | $139 | +$22.97 | 58% 3538-2545 (6083) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 84.2¢ | $35.67 | $36.67 | +$1 | 54% 2156-1847 (4003) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.6¢ | $15.35 | — | -$15.35 | 48% 1372-1476 (2848) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.6¢ | $24.34 | — | -$24.34 | 51% 2935-2874 (5809) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $8.15 | — | -$0.35 | 60% 3454-2312 (5766) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $0.78 | — | -$0.78 | 42% 1466-2059 (3525) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3204-2681 (5885)
Invested
$116.03
Value
$139
PnL
+$22.97
Record
58%
3538-2545 (6083)
Invested
$35.67
Value
$36.67
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
2156-1847 (4003)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$15.35
Value
—
PnL
-$15.35
Record
48%
1372-1476 (2848)
Invested
$24.34
Value
—
PnL
-$24.34
Record
51%
2935-2874 (5809)
Invested
$8.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
60%
3454-2312 (5766)
Invested
$0.78
Value
—
PnL
-$0.78
Record
42%
1466-2059 (3525)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $139
ply-pm2
Down — $36.67
cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0