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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 20%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$988.69

Combined PnL

-$137.15

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 10 top traders (20%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares549

Combined PnL-$283.19

Up2 traders

Total Value$405.75

Total Shares406

Combined PnL+$146.04

Down — 80%Up — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.3¢	$511.97	$468.75	-$12.37	54% 3204-2681 (5885)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.3¢	$252.11	—	-$250.54
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$234.37	$468.75	+$238.17
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 38.3¢	$249.13	—	-$231.7	51% 2935-2874 (5809)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 44.3¢	$180.31	$114.19	-$42.29	54% 2156-1847 (4003)
└ Down leg	Downavg 44.3¢	$81.57	—	-$83.21
└ Up leg	Upavg 61.2¢	$69.92	$114.19	+$40.92
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 64¢	$255.32	$399	+$143.68	58% 3538-2545 (6083)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 28.5¢	$24.67	—	-$24.67	48% 1372-1476 (2848)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 35¢	$8.75	—	-$8.75	50% 2066-2059 (4125)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 40¢	$6	—	-$6	44% 1903-2453 (4356)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 33.5¢	$4.02	—	-$4.02	42% 1466-2059 (3525)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 46¢	$4.6	—	-$4.6	47% 1977-2239 (4216)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 45¢	$2.25	—	-$2.25	48% 1918-2109 (4027)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 24¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	47% 1944-2175 (4119)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 65¢	$4.39	$6.75	+$2.36	38% 1272-2117 (3389)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$511.97

Value

$468.75

PnL

-$12.37

Record

54%

3204-2681 (5885)

Both legs:

Down$252.1149.3¢-$250.54

Up$234.3750¢+$238.17

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$249.13

Value

—

PnL

-$231.7

Record

51%

2935-2874 (5809)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$180.31

Value

$114.19

PnL

-$42.29

Record

54%

2156-1847 (4003)

Both legs:

Down$81.5744.3¢-$83.21

Up$69.9261.2¢+$40.92

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$255.32

Value

$399

PnL

+$143.68

Record

58%

3538-2545 (6083)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$24.67

Value

—

PnL

-$24.67

Record

48%

1372-1476 (2848)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$8.75

Value

—

PnL

-$8.75

Record

50%

2066-2059 (4125)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$6

Value

—

PnL

-$6

Record

44%

1903-2453 (4356)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$4.02

Value

—

PnL

-$4.02

Record

42%

1466-2059 (3525)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$4.6

Value

—

PnL

-$4.6

Record

47%

1977-2239 (4216)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$2.25

Value

—

PnL

-$2.25

Record

48%

1918-2109 (4027)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

47%

1944-2175 (4119)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$4.39

Value

$6.75

PnL

+$2.36

Record

38%

1272-2117 (3389)

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 10 top traders (20%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xcd27e5f2...487d73

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794648600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $399

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

ohioism

Down — $0

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