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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 33%

Total Value

$260.58

Combined PnL

-$523.18

Smart Money Signal

Down

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,019

Combined PnL-$597.15

Up6 traders

Total Value$260.58

Total Shares261

Combined PnL+$73.97

Down — 33%Up — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.7¢	$505.66	—	-$486.27	55% 3173-2646 (5819)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$103.95	$105	+$1.05	98% 3320-70 (3390)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 6.5¢	$44.12	—	-$32.12	51% 2914-2831 (5745)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 70.6¢	$61.54	$55.36	-$6.18	54% 2138-1828 (3966)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 21.7¢	$14.76	$68	+$53.24	48% 1366-1467 (2833)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 20¢	$5	$25	+$20	50% 2065-2056 (4121)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 19¢	$1.14	$6	+$4.86	41% 1439-2039 (3478)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 18¢	$0.22	$1.22	+$1	60% 3418-2292 (5710)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 38¢	$78.76	—	-$78.76	58% 3530-2534 (6064)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$505.66

Value

—

PnL

-$486.27

Record

55%

3173-2646 (5819)

Invested

$103.95

Value

$105

PnL

+$1.05

Record

98%

3320-70 (3390)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$44.12

Value

—

PnL

-$32.12

Record

51%

2914-2831 (5745)

Invested

$61.54

Value

$55.36

PnL

-$6.18

Record

54%

2138-1828 (3966)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$14.76

Value

$68

PnL

+$53.24

Record

48%

1366-1467 (2833)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$5

Value

$25

PnL

+$20

Record

50%

2065-2056 (4121)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.14

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.86

Record

41%

1439-2039 (3478)

Invested

$0.22

Value

$1.22

PnL

+$1

Record

60%

3418-2292 (5710)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$78.76

Value

—

PnL

-$78.76

Record

58%

3530-2534 (6064)

Smart Money Signal

Down

3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc89e9f01...7afba0

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794647700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $105

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $55.36

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $68

uninformedfloww

Up — $25

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

aaa221

Up — $1.22

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

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