Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$23.8

Down

3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$255.48

Total Shares255

Combined PnL+$90.15

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares657

Combined PnL-$66.36

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.9¢	$514.69	$500.48	-$7.86	55% 3173-2646 (5819)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250.1	—	-$253.6
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.9¢	$254.74	$500.48	+$245.74
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Downavg 82.6¢	$451.21	$403.18	-$48.03	51% 2914-2831 (5745)
└ Up leg	Upavg 36.8¢	$118.04	—	-$118.04
└ Down leg	Downavg 82.6¢	$333.16	$403.18	+$70.02
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 47.2¢	$97.27	$158	+$85.73	58% 3530-2534 (6064)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 81.7¢	$53.24	$46	-$0.41	54% 2138-1828 (3966)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 90.2¢	$46.65	$51.48	+$4.83	60% 3418-2292 (5710)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$0.49	—	-$0.49	50% 1731-1732 (3463)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 10¢	$65.87	—	-$65.87	41% 1439-2039 (3478)