Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Down 71%
$74
-$497.2
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 55% 3148-2619 (5767) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 76.1¢ | $33.48 | $44 | +$10.52 | 51% 2884-2810 (5694) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 80.3¢ | $24.1 | $30 | +$5.9 | 54% 2121-1818 (3939) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 58% 3514-2517 (6031) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 48% 1893-2072 (3965) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $3.22 | — | -$3.22 | 48% 1360-1458 (2818) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 47% 1953-2201 (4154) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
55%
3148-2619 (5767)
Invested
$33.48
Value
$44
PnL
+$10.52
Record
51%
2884-2810 (5694)
Invested
$24.1
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.9
Record
54%
2121-1818 (3939)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
58%
3514-2517 (6031)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
48%
1893-2072 (3965)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$3.22
Value
—
PnL
-$3.22
Record
48%
1360-1458 (2818)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
47%
1953-2201 (4154)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $44
ply-pm2
Up — $30
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
CTRDown — $0
cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown — $0