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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 63%

Total Value

$360.33

Combined PnL

-$499.93

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares590

Combined PnL-$520.41

Up3 traders

Total Value$360.33

Total Shares360

Combined PnL+$20.47

Down — 63%Up — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.4¢	$501.9	—	-$493.4	55% 3148-2619 (5767)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 74.8¢	$208.75	$279	+$70.25	58% 3514-2517 (6031)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 85.4¢	$127.45	$75.33	-$52.12	51% 2884-2810 (5694)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 40.3¢	$21.7	—	-$21.7	54% 2121-1818 (3939)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 13.8¢	$3.85	—	-$3.85	48% 1360-1458 (2818)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 61¢	$3.66	$6	+$2.34	47% 1953-2201 (4154)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 14¢	$2.48	—	-$0.68	60% 3392-2277 (5669)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 13¢	$0.78	—	-$0.78	41% 1415-2011 (3426)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$501.9

Value

—

PnL

-$493.4

Record

55%

3148-2619 (5767)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$208.75

Value

$279

PnL

+$70.25

Record

58%

3514-2517 (6031)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$127.45

Value

$75.33

PnL

-$52.12

Record

51%

2884-2810 (5694)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$21.7

Value

—

PnL

-$21.7

Record

54%

2121-1818 (3939)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$3.85

Value

—

PnL

-$3.85

Record

48%

1360-1458 (2818)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$3.66

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.34

Record

47%

1953-2201 (4154)

Invested

$2.48

Value

—

PnL

-$0.68

Record

60%

3392-2277 (5669)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.78

Value

—

PnL

-$0.78

Record

41%

1415-2011 (3426)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xaa810672...77f29a

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794643200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $279

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $75.33

ply-pm2

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $6

aaa221

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

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