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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Up 63%

Total Value

$40.22

Combined PnL

-$702.84

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares688

Combined PnL-$724.85

Down3 traders

Total Value$40.22

Total Shares40

Combined PnL+$22.01

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50.1¢	$509.51	—	-$499.2	55% 3148-2619 (5767)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Upavg 66.6¢	$218.15	—	-$218.15	51% 2884-2810 (5694)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 88¢	$37.97	$15.19	+$3.69	54% 2121-1818 (3939)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 28¢	$4.2	$15	+$10.8	47% 1910-2144 (4054)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 25¢	$2.51	$10.03	+$7.52	60% 3392-2277 (5669)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 25.5¢	$1.8	—	-$1.8	41% 1415-2011 (3426)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$3	—	-$3	50% 1717-1721 (3438)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 54¢	$2.7	—	-$2.7	58% 3514-2517 (6031)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$509.51

Value

—

PnL

-$499.2

Record

55%

3148-2619 (5767)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$218.15

Value

—

PnL

-$218.15

Record

51%

2884-2810 (5694)

Invested

$37.97

Value

$15.19

PnL

+$3.69

Record

54%

2121-1818 (3939)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

$15

PnL

+$10.8

Record

47%

1910-2144 (4054)

Invested

$2.51

Value

$10.03

PnL

+$7.52

Record

60%

3392-2277 (5669)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

41%

1415-2011 (3426)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$3

Value

—

PnL

-$3

Record

50%

1717-1721 (3438)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

58%

3514-2517 (6031)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x08eda686...cb06a0

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794641400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $15.19

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $15

aaa221

Down — $10.03

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

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