Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$948.56
-$122.34
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $505.1 | $497.98 | +$0.75 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.1 | — | -$248.22 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $248.99 | $497.98 | +$248.97 | |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $291.75 | $294.7 | +$2.95 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 52.6¢ | $76.68 | $115 | +$38.32 | 51% 2841-2744 (5585) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $83.18 | $35.99 | -$1.66 | 54% 2087-1785 (3872) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $3.03 | $4.89 | +$1.86 | 60% 3347-2246 (5593) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $2.28 | — | -$2.28 | 44% 1849-2382 (4231) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Upavg 40.9¢ | $159.48 | — | -$159.48 | 58% 3466-2465 (5931) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $2.04 | — | -$2.04 | 41% 1381-1964 (3345) |
Invested
$505.1
Value
$497.98
PnL
+$0.75
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Both legs:
Invested
$291.75
Value
$294.7
PnL
+$2.95
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
Invested
$76.68
Value
$115
PnL
+$38.32
Record
51%
2841-2744 (5585)
Invested
$83.18
Value
$35.99
PnL
-$1.66
Record
54%
2087-1785 (3872)
Invested
$3.03
Value
$4.89
PnL
+$1.86
Record
60%
3347-2246 (5593)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.28
Value
—
PnL
-$2.28
Record
44%
1849-2382 (4231)
Invested
$159.48
Value
—
PnL
-$159.48
Record
58%
3466-2465 (5931)
Invested
$2.04
Value
—
PnL
-$2.04
Record
41%
1381-1964 (3345)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $294.7
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $115
ply-pm2
Down — $35.99
aaa221
Down — $4.89
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0