Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Up 83%
1 arb excluded
$3.8K
$116.54
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98Β’ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$31.66 | 98% 3197-68 (3265) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 90.4Β’ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$116.5 | 41% 1381-1964 (3345) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.6Β’ | $510.55 | $500 | -$1.2 | 55% 3086-2563 (5649) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.6Β’ | $253.14 | $500 | +$249.4 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.5Β’ | $247.4 | β | -$250.6 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 79.3Β’ | $421.81 | $414.14 | -$7.66 | 51% 2841-2744 (5585) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.5Β’ | $46.09 | β | -$40.09 | 58% 3466-2465 (5931) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $56.6 | $70 | +$13.4 | 54% 2087-1785 (3872) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 89.6Β’ | $68.79 | $60 | +$2.73 | 60% 3347-2246 (5593) |
Invested
$1,535.34
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$31.66
Record
98%
3197-68 (3265)
Invested
$1,095.5
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$116.5
Record
41%
1381-1964 (3345)
Invested
$510.55
Value
$500
PnL
-$1.2
Record
55%
3086-2563 (5649)
Both legs:
Invested
$421.81
Value
$414.14
PnL
-$7.66
Record
51%
2841-2744 (5585)
Invested
$46.09
Value
β
PnL
-$40.09
Record
58%
3466-2465 (5931)
Invested
$56.6
Value
$70
PnL
+$13.4
Record
54%
2087-1785 (3872)
Invested
$68.79
Value
$60
PnL
+$2.73
Record
60%
3347-2246 (5593)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $1.6K
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $1.2K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $414.14
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown β $0
ply-pm2
Up β $70
aaa221
Up β $60