Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
$862
-$69.55
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.7Β’ | $512.77 | $500 | -$4.5 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.7Β’ | $253.5 | $500 | +$247.3 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.8Β’ | $249.22 | β | -$251.8 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 77.5Β’ | $303.03 | $320 | +$16.97 | 51% 2812-2714 (5526) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 93.5Β’ | $59.35 | $20 | -$6.9 | 54% 2059-1752 (3811) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 71Β’ | $8.52 | $12 | +$3.48 | 41% 1336-1928 (3264) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 88Β’ | $13.23 | $10 | -$2.34 | 60% 3298-2213 (5511) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.8Β’ | $80.76 | β | -$80.76 | 59% 3410-2403 (5813) |
Invested
$512.77
Value
$500
PnL
-$4.5
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Both legs:
Invested
$303.03
Value
$320
PnL
+$16.97
Record
51%
2812-2714 (5526)
Invested
$59.35
Value
$20
PnL
-$6.9
Record
54%
2059-1752 (3811)
Invested
$8.52
Value
$12
PnL
+$3.48
Record
41%
1336-1928 (3264)
Invested
$13.23
Value
$10
PnL
-$2.34
Record
60%
3298-2213 (5511)
Invested
$80.76
Value
β
PnL
-$80.76
Record
59%
3410-2403 (5813)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $320
ply-pm2
Up β $20
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $12
aaa221
Up β $10
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown β $0