Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$576.53
-$112.56
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $504.7 | $490 | -$9.4 | 55% 2993-2461 (5454) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $254.7 | β | -$254.7 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $245 | $490 | +$245.3 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 77Β’ | $100.67 | $49 | -$40.4 | 59% 3388-2384 (5772) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.7Β’ | $21.07 | β | -$21.07 | 48% 1309-1403 (2712) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 55Β’ | $36.3 | β | -$36.3 | 51% 2791-2702 (5493) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 93.7Β’ | $59.42 | $31.53 | -$17.51 | 54% 2039-1735 (3774) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 14Β’ | $0.7 | β | -$0.7 | 48% 1808-1977 (3785) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 50.2Β’ | $3.01 | $6 | +$2.99 | 41% 1300-1898 (3198) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $10.2 | β | +$0.44 | 60% 3273-2196 (5469) |
Invested
$504.7
Value
$490
PnL
-$9.4
Record
55%
2993-2461 (5454)
Both legs:
Invested
$100.67
Value
$49
PnL
-$40.4
Record
59%
3388-2384 (5772)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$21.07
Value
β
PnL
-$21.07
Record
48%
1309-1403 (2712)
Invested
$36.3
Value
β
PnL
-$36.3
Record
51%
2791-2702 (5493)
Invested
$59.42
Value
$31.53
PnL
-$17.51
Record
54%
2039-1735 (3774)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
β
PnL
-$0.7
Record
48%
1808-1977 (3785)
Invested
$3.01
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.99
Record
41%
1300-1898 (3198)
Invested
$10.2
Value
β
PnL
+$0.44
Record
60%
3273-2196 (5469)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up β $49

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0
ply-pm2
Up β $31.53

ohioism
CTRDown β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $6
aaa221
CTRDown β $0