Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Up 83%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
-$8.12
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.6Β’ | $502.98 | $500 | -$0.78 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.6Β’ | $250.64 | β | -$250.78 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 83.8Β’ | $410.95 | $456.85 | +$45.89 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 87.4Β’ | $81.2 | $50 | -$9.1 | 54% 1878-1606 (3484) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 62Β’ | $15.5 | $25 | +$9.5 | 50% 1904-1877 (3781) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 30Β’ | $1.8 | $6 | +$4.2 | 40% 1121-1688 (2809) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $1.15 | $2.45 | +$1.3 | 49% 1538-1576 (3114) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 15Β’ | $59.92 | β | -$59.92 | 59% 3299-2310 (5609) |
Invested
$502.98
Value
$500
PnL
-$0.78
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Both legs:
Invested
$410.95
Value
$456.85
PnL
+$45.89
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Invested
$81.2
Value
$50
PnL
-$9.1
Record
54%
1878-1606 (3484)
Invested
$15.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$9.5
Record
50%
1904-1877 (3781)
Invested
$1.8
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.2
Record
40%
1121-1688 (2809)
Invested
$1.15
Value
$2.45
PnL
+$1.3
Record
49%
1538-1576 (3114)
Invested
$59.92
Value
β
PnL
-$59.92
Record
59%
3299-2310 (5609)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $456.85
ply-pm2
Up β $50
uninformedfloww
Up β $25
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $6
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $2.45
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown β $0