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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$890.59

Combined PnL

-$27.27

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$400.59

Total Shares401

Combined PnL-$17.74

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares49

Combined PnL-$9.53

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.5¢	$502.7	$490	-$5.4	55% 2652-2154 (4806)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$247.3
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.5¢	$252.7	—	-$252.7
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 75.1¢	$348.86	$313.87	-$34.99	50% 2434-2391 (4825)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 88.1¢	$28.69	$28.49	+$1.26	60% 3027-2022 (5049)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 63¢	$23.9	$20	+$2.3	54% 1831-1588 (3419)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 50¢	$10.11	$20.22	+$10.11	49% 1499-1549 (3048)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 77¢	$8.47	$11	+$2.53	39% 1076-1670 (2746)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 55¢	$5.95	$7	+$1.05	59% 3281-2298 (5579)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 21¢	$5.25	—	-$5.25	50% 1861-1835 (3696)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 21¢	$3.15	—	-$3.15	47% 1686-1913 (3599)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$1.08	—	-$1.08	49% 1967-2021 (3988)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 10¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	47% 1170-1297 (2467)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$502.7

Value

$490

PnL

-$5.4

Record

55%

2652-2154 (4806)

Both legs:

Down$24550¢+$247.3

Up$252.749.5¢-$252.7

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$348.86

Value

$313.87

PnL

-$34.99

Record

50%

2434-2391 (4825)

Invested

$28.69

Value

$28.49

PnL

+$1.26

Record

60%

3027-2022 (5049)

Invested

$23.9

Value

$20

PnL

+$2.3

Record

54%

1831-1588 (3419)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$10.11

Value

$20.22

PnL

+$10.11

Record

49%

1499-1549 (3048)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$8.47

Value

$11

PnL

+$2.53

Record

39%

1076-1670 (2746)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$5.95

Value

$7

PnL

+$1.05

Record

59%

3281-2298 (5579)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$5.25

Value

—

PnL

-$5.25

Record

50%

1861-1835 (3696)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$3.15

Value

—

PnL

-$3.15

Record

47%

1686-1913 (3599)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

-$1.08

Record

49%

1967-2021 (3988)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

47%

1170-1297 (2467)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2530429d...5e0c30

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794585600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $313.87

aaa221

Down — $28.49

ply-pm2

Down — $20

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $20.22

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $11

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $7

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

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