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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

Total Value

$29.92

Combined PnL

-$532.69

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares577

Combined PnL-$530.52

Down2 traders

Total Value$29.92

Total Shares30

Combined PnL-$2.17

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2475-1962 (4437)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Upavg 35.8¢	$17.97	—	-$17.97	59% 3030-2107 (5137)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 95¢	$19.05	$15	-$4.05	47% 1444-1636 (3080)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 55.6¢	$13.04	$14.92	+$1.88	38% 953-1575 (2528)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 39.4¢	$5.68	—	-$5.68	60% 2584-1729 (4313)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	$4.5	—	-$4.5	46% 1383-1602 (2985)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 44¢	$2.2	—	-$2.2	44% 1391-1787 (3178)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 1.4¢	$0.17	—	-$0.17	38% 771-1268 (2039)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$17.97

Value

—

PnL

-$17.97

Record

59%

3030-2107 (5137)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$19.05

Value

$15

PnL

-$4.05

Record

47%

1444-1636 (3080)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$13.04

Value

$14.92

PnL

+$1.88

Record

38%

953-1575 (2528)

Invested

$5.68

Value

—

PnL

-$5.68

Record

60%

2584-1729 (4313)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$4.5

Value

—

PnL

-$4.5

Record

46%

1383-1602 (2985)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$2.2

Value

—

PnL

-$2.2

Record

44%

1391-1787 (3178)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.17

Value

—

PnL

-$0.17

Record

38%

771-1268 (2039)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x61fcb342...a959af

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794528000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $15

antsaslyku

Down — $14.92

aaa221

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

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