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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 78%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$646.55

Combined PnL

$15.09

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$146.55

Total Shares147

Combined PnL+$47.05

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares57

Combined PnL-$31.96

Up — 80%Down — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	56% 2475-1962 (4437)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 49.6¢	$39.76	$49.94	+$10.18	38% 953-1575 (2528)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 61.6¢	$26.33	$42.77	+$16.44	47% 995-1129 (2124)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 66.9¢	$58.16	—	-$30.21	59% 3030-2107 (5137)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 37.8¢	$16.19	$22.84	+$6.65	46% 1383-1602 (2985)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 71¢	$3.55	$5	+$1.45	49% 1644-1742 (3386)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 34¢	$3.4	$10	+$6.6	44% 1391-1787 (3178)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 28¢	$2.8	$10	+$7.2	47% 1444-1636 (3080)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 52.2¢	$3.13	$6	+$2.87	38% 771-1268 (2039)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 16.5¢	$1.76	—	-$1.76	48% 1394-1530 (2924)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 55¢	$6.11	$0	-$4.33	60% 2584-1729 (4313)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

Both legs:

Down$25050¢-$250

Up$25050¢+$250

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$39.76

Value

$49.94

PnL

+$10.18

Record

38%

953-1575 (2528)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$26.33

Value

$42.77

PnL

+$16.44

Record

47%

995-1129 (2124)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$58.16

Value

—

PnL

-$30.21

Record

59%

3030-2107 (5137)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$16.19

Value

$22.84

PnL

+$6.65

Record

46%

1383-1602 (2985)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$3.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.45

Record

49%

1644-1742 (3386)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$3.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$6.6

Record

44%

1391-1787 (3178)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$2.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$7.2

Record

47%

1444-1636 (3080)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$3.13

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.87

Record

38%

771-1268 (2039)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.76

Value

—

PnL

-$1.76

Record

48%

1394-1530 (2924)

Invested

$6.11

Value

$0

PnL

-$4.33

Record

60%

2584-1729 (4313)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3d84c3d7...32e14a

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794526200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

antsaslyku

Up — $49.94

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $42.77

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $22.84

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $10

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $10

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

ohioism

Down — $0

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