Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Up 63%
1 arb excluded
$789.98
$13.96
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 71.4Β’ | $197.31 | $134.98 | -$62.33 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 47.3Β’ | $63.78 | $134.98 | +$71.2 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 71.4Β’ | $133.53 | β | -$133.53 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | $55.06 | $68 | +$12.94 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 57.1Β’ | $65.71 | $70 | +$6.43 | 54% 1677-1430 (3107) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.9Β’ | $68.5 | β | -$10 | 59% 3010-2084 (5094) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 34.5Β’ | $4.14 | $12 | +$7.86 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $2.5 | $5 | +$2.5 | 55% 1432-1173 (2605) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 12.6Β’ | $0.78 | β | -$0.78 | 47% 975-1099 (2074) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 30Β’ | $5 | β | -$5 | 38% 927-1543 (2470) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$197.31
Value
$134.98
PnL
-$62.33
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
Both legs:
Invested
$55.06
Value
$68
PnL
+$12.94
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
Invested
$65.71
Value
$70
PnL
+$6.43
Record
54%
1677-1430 (3107)
Invested
$68.5
Value
β
PnL
-$10
Record
59%
3010-2084 (5094)
Invested
$4.14
Value
$12
PnL
+$7.86
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
Invested
$2.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.5
Record
55%
1432-1173 (2605)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.78
Value
β
PnL
-$0.78
Record
47%
975-1099 (2074)
Invested
$5
Value
β
PnL
-$5
Record
38%
927-1543 (2470)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded
uninformedfloww
Up β $68
ply-pm2
Up β $70
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRDown β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $12
Kathod-Shi-14
Up β $5

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0
antsaslyku
CTRDown β $0