Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Up 38%

Total Value

$294.92

Combined PnL

-$425.68

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares510

Combined PnL-$501.48

Down5 traders

Total Value$294.92

Total Shares295

Combined PnL+$75.79

Up — 38%Down — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2466-1957 (4423)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 73.7¢	$153.3	$207.92	+$54.62	50% 1977-1974 (3951)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 74.5¢	$29.8	$40	+$10.2	54% 1677-1430 (3107)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 94¢	$23.5	$25	+$1.5	50% 1445-1426 (2871)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 54¢	$6.48	$12	+$5.52	59% 3010-2084 (5094)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 60.5¢	$6.05	$10	+$3.95	55% 1432-1173 (2605)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 16.3¢	$0.78	—	-$0.78	47% 975-1099 (2074)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 14¢	$0.7	—	-$0.7	60% 2531-1695 (4226)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2466-1957 (4423)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$153.3

Value

$207.92

PnL

+$54.62

Record

50%

1977-1974 (3951)

Invested

$29.8

Value

$40

PnL

+$10.2

Record

54%

1677-1430 (3107)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$23.5

Value

$25

PnL

+$1.5

Record

50%

1445-1426 (2871)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$6.48

Value

$12

PnL

+$5.52

Record

59%

3010-2084 (5094)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$6.05

Value

$10

PnL

+$3.95

Record

55%

1432-1173 (2605)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.78

Value

—

PnL

-$0.78

Record

47%

975-1099 (2074)

Invested

$0.7

Value

—

PnL

-$0.7

Record

60%

2531-1695 (4226)

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x15b8fa13...6a315d

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794519900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $207.92

ply-pm2

Down — $40

uninformedfloww

Down — $25

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $12

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $10

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

aaa221

Up — $0

Trade on Polymarket