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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 40%

Total Value

$533.59

Combined PnL

-$407.55

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares577

Combined PnL-$490.58

Down6 traders

Total Value$533.59

Total Shares534

Combined PnL+$83.03

Up — 40%Down — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 48.3¢	$520.14	—	-$481.27	56% 2419-1897 (4316)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 48.3¢	$274.4	$295.24	+$20.84	50% 1923-1911 (3834)
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 66.6¢	$156.9	$104.8	-$37.24	54% 1637-1402 (3039)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 32.4¢	$18.23	$42	+$28.87	59% 2981-2065 (5046)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 20.4¢	$14.6	$71.56	+$56.96	44% 1344-1706 (3050)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	98% 2353-45 (2398)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 9.6¢	$1.45	$15	+$13.55	47% 1374-1576 (2950)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$3.06	—	+$1.54	37% 679-1149 (1828)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 23.7¢	$8.12	—	-$8.12	37% 901-1503 (2404)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 12.3¢	$2.73	—	-$2.73	46% 1320-1541 (2861)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$520.14

Value

—

PnL

-$481.27

Record

56%

2419-1897 (4316)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$274.4

Value

$295.24

PnL

+$20.84

Record

50%

1923-1911 (3834)

Invested

$156.9

Value

$104.8

PnL

-$37.24

Record

54%

1637-1402 (3039)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$18.23

Value

$42

PnL

+$28.87

Record

59%

2981-2065 (5046)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$14.6

Value

$71.56

PnL

+$56.96

Record

44%

1344-1706 (3050)

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

2353-45 (2398)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$1.45

Value

$15

PnL

+$13.55

Record

47%

1374-1576 (2950)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$3.06

Value

—

PnL

+$1.54

Record

37%

679-1149 (1828)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$8.12

Value

—

PnL

-$8.12

Record

37%

901-1503 (2404)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$2.73

Value

—

PnL

-$2.73

Record

46%

1320-1541 (2861)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x319acc7e...46e911

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794514500

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $295.24

ply-pm2

Down — $104.8

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $42

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $71.56

hoodquant

Down — $5

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $15

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

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