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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$751.2

Combined PnL

-$27.38

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$251.2

Total Shares251

Combined PnL+$51.95

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares126

Combined PnL-$79.33

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.2¢	$506.1	$500	+$1	56% 2372-1839 (4211)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.2¢	$251.08	$500	+$250
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$248.98	—	-$249
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 49.8¢	$104.51	$164	+$59.49	50% 1859-1828 (3687)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 78.2¢	$78.85	$59.83	-$19.02	54% 1603-1367 (2970)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 47.5¢	$81.13	—	-$72.86	59% 2959-2052 (5011)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 53.2¢	$13.22	$15.86	+$2.64	38% 880-1457 (2337)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 26.7¢	$4	—	-$4	47% 1347-1530 (2877)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 11¢	$2.47	—	-$2.47	51% 1376-1320 (2696)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 25¢	$1.78	$6.51	+$4.73	38% 657-1093 (1750)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 18¢	$0.9	$5	+$4.1	48% 1314-1432 (2746)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$506.1

Value

$500

PnL

+$1

Record

56%

2372-1839 (4211)

Both legs:

Up$251.0850.2¢+$250

Down$248.9850¢-$249

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$104.51

Value

$164

PnL

+$59.49

Record

50%

1859-1828 (3687)

Invested

$78.85

Value

$59.83

PnL

-$19.02

Record

54%

1603-1367 (2970)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$81.13

Value

—

PnL

-$72.86

Record

59%

2959-2052 (5011)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$13.22

Value

$15.86

PnL

+$2.64

Record

38%

880-1457 (2337)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$4

Value

—

PnL

-$4

Record

47%

1347-1530 (2877)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$2.47

Value

—

PnL

-$2.47

Record

51%

1376-1320 (2696)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.78

Value

$6.51

PnL

+$4.73

Record

38%

657-1093 (1750)

Invested

$0.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$4.1

Record

48%

1314-1432 (2746)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6d4b416c...1ac372

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794506400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $164

ply-pm2

Up — $59.83

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $15.86

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6.51

ohioism

Up — $5

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