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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$265.93

Combined PnL

-$519.99

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares677

Combined PnL-$533.67

Down5 traders

Total Value$265.93

Total Shares266

Combined PnL+$13.68

Up — 55%Down — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2370-1839 (4209)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 93¢	$115.1	$123.7	+$8.6	59% 2945-2044 (4989)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 85.8¢	$80.9	$73	-$7.9	51% 1806-1756 (3562)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 81.1¢	$36.5	$45	+$8.5	54% 1563-1340 (2903)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 85¢	$16.35	$19.23	+$2.88	60% 2389-1604 (3993)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 50.5¢	$13.95	—	-$13.95	48% 1171-1273 (2444)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 15.5¢	$4	—	-$4	47% 912-1024 (1936)
38 38791873984189<$100	Downavg 49¢	$3.41	$5	+$1.59	48% 2191-2368 (4559)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 21¢	$2.31	—	-$2.31	44% 1290-1624 (2914)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 16¢	$0.8	—	-$0.8	48% 1485-1609 (3094)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 11.7¢	$12.6	—	-$12.6	51% 1347-1269 (2616)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$115.1

Value

$123.7

PnL

+$8.6

Record

59%

2945-2044 (4989)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$80.9

Value

$73

PnL

-$7.9

Record

51%

1806-1756 (3562)

Invested

$36.5

Value

$45

PnL

+$8.5

Record

54%

1563-1340 (2903)

Invested

$16.35

Value

$19.23

PnL

+$2.88

Record

60%

2389-1604 (3993)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$13.95

Value

—

PnL

-$13.95

Record

48%

1171-1273 (2444)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$4

Value

—

PnL

-$4

Record

47%

912-1024 (1936)

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$3.41

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.59

Record

48%

2191-2368 (4559)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$2.31

Value

—

PnL

-$2.31

Record

44%

1290-1624 (2914)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$0.8

Value

—

PnL

-$0.8

Record

48%

1485-1609 (3094)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$12.6

Value

—

PnL

-$12.6

Record

51%

1347-1269 (2616)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc8cb5675...6330b5

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794497400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $123.7

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $73

ply-pm2

Down — $45

aaa221

Down — $19.23

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

38791873984189

Down — $5

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

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