Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$553.29
-$13.65
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $250 | β | -$250 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 66.8Β’ | $33.77 | $17.49 | -$2.02 | 54% 1521-1314 (2835) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 71.5Β’ | $10.06 | $14 | +$3.94 | 51% 1741-1694 (3435) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 65.6Β’ | $7.75 | $11.8 | +$4.05 | 59% 2924-2024 (4948) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $4.9 | $10 | +$5.1 | 47% 1280-1435 (2715) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $2.5 | β | -$2.5 | 48% 1139-1229 (2368) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $2.15 | β | -$2.15 | 48% 1442-1566 (3008) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 19.1Β’ | $12.79 | β | -$12.79 | 47% 870-993 (1863) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $0.43 | β | -$0.43 | 48% 2153-2339 (4492) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.7Β’ | $6.85 | β | -$6.85 | 48% 1250-1346 (2596) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Both legs:
Invested
$33.77
Value
$17.49
PnL
-$2.02
Record
54%
1521-1314 (2835)
Invested
$10.06
Value
$14
PnL
+$3.94
Record
51%
1741-1694 (3435)
Invested
$7.75
Value
$11.8
PnL
+$4.05
Record
59%
2924-2024 (4948)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.1
Record
47%
1280-1435 (2715)
Invested
$2.5
Value
β
PnL
-$2.5
Record
48%
1139-1229 (2368)
Invested
$2.15
Value
β
PnL
-$2.15
Record
48%
1442-1566 (3008)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$12.79
Value
β
PnL
-$12.79
Record
47%
870-993 (1863)
Invested
$0.43
Value
β
PnL
-$0.43
Record
48%
2153-2339 (4492)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.85
Value
β
PnL
-$6.85
Record
48%
1250-1346 (2596)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Up β $17.49
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $14
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up β $11.8
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $10
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0
38791873984189
CTRDown β $0

ohioism
CTRDown β $0