Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$711.15
-$72.34
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.2Β’ | $517 | $500 | -$2.24 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.2Β’ | $247.7 | β | -$249.45 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.2Β’ | $251.15 | $500 | +$247.2 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 68Β’ | $104.13 | $125.08 | +$20.95 | 51% 1610-1559 (3169) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.6Β’ | $40.58 | $51.06 | +$11.68 | 60% 2157-1447 (3604) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 67.9Β’ | $111.7 | $30 | -$11.7 | 53% 1405-1239 (2644) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 57.4Β’ | $4.86 | β | -$4.86 | 37% 778-1309 (2087) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 22Β’ | $1.54 | β | -$1.54 | 47% 771-864 (1635) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 48% 1999-2208 (4207) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.9Β’ | $89.42 | β | -$89.42 | 59% 2885-1975 (4860) |
Invested
$517
Value
$500
PnL
-$2.24
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Both legs:
Invested
$104.13
Value
$125.08
PnL
+$20.95
Record
51%
1610-1559 (3169)
Invested
$40.58
Value
$51.06
PnL
+$11.68
Record
60%
2157-1447 (3604)
Invested
$111.7
Value
$30
PnL
-$11.7
Record
53%
1405-1239 (2644)
Invested
$4.86
Value
β
PnL
-$4.86
Record
37%
778-1309 (2087)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.54
Value
β
PnL
-$1.54
Record
47%
771-864 (1635)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
48%
1999-2208 (4207)
Invested
$89.42
Value
β
PnL
-$89.42
Record
59%
2885-1975 (4860)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $125.08
aaa221
Down β $51.06
ply-pm2
Down β $30
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0
38791873984189
Down β $5
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp β $0