Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$611.38
-$29.86
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.7Β’ | $503.3 | $498.36 | -$3.94 | 57% 2260-1719 (3979) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.7Β’ | $253.3 | β | -$253.3 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $249.18 | $498.36 | +$249.36 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 74Β’ | $71.46 | $69.07 | -$2.39 | 51% 1604-1553 (3157) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 69.6Β’ | $64.04 | $17.47 | -$3 | 53% 1383-1227 (2610) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74Β’ | $36.74 | $15.85 | -$16.45 | 60% 2128-1425 (3553) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 47Β’ | $5 | $10.63 | +$5.63 | 37% 763-1297 (2060) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 5Β’ | $2.46 | β | -$2.46 | 38% 576-948 (1524) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.8Β’ | $11.2 | β | -$11.2 | 59% 2873-1960 (4833) |
Invested
$503.3
Value
$498.36
PnL
-$3.94
Record
57%
2260-1719 (3979)
Both legs:
Invested
$71.46
Value
$69.07
PnL
-$2.39
Record
51%
1604-1553 (3157)
Invested
$64.04
Value
$17.47
PnL
-$3
Record
53%
1383-1227 (2610)
Invested
$36.74
Value
$15.85
PnL
-$16.45
Record
60%
2128-1425 (3553)
Invested
$5
Value
$10.63
PnL
+$5.63
Record
37%
763-1297 (2060)
Invested
$2.46
Value
β
PnL
-$2.46
Record
38%
576-948 (1524)
Invested
$11.2
Value
β
PnL
-$11.2
Record
59%
2873-1960 (4833)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $69.07
ply-pm2
Down β $17.47
aaa221
Down β $15.85
antsaslyku
Down β $10.63
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp β $0