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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$610.3

Combined PnL

-$60.94

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares118

Combined PnL-$128.51

Up9 traders

Total Value$109.68

Total Shares110

Combined PnL+$67.57

Down — 25%Up — 75%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$500.46	$500.62	+$1.08	58% 2058-1520 (3578)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$249.37	—	-$249.08
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250.46	$500.62	+$250.16
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 82¢	$45.8	—	-$45.8	43% 227-296 (523)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 78.3¢	$99.72	—	-$64.73	53% 1273-1127 (2400)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 27.7¢	$13.82	$49.95	+$36.13	50% 149-151 (300)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$8.59	$8.6	+$0.01	47% 629-703 (1332)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 56¢	$4.91	$8.77	+$3.86	38% 718-1188 (1906)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 28¢	$2.8	$10	+$7.2	74% 773-277 (1050)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 38.5¢	$3.85	$10	+$6.15	—
D8 0xd8f1...74a9<$100	Upavg 72¢	$3.86	$5.36	+$1.5	—
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 21¢	$2.1	$10	+$7.9	44% 1012-1265 (2277)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 20¢	$1.2	$6	+$4.8	—
38 38791873984189<$100	Upavg 49¢	$0.98	$1	+$0.02	48% 1454-1600 (3054)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 53.9¢	$20.98	—	-$17.98	60% 2627-1728 (4355)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500.46

Value

$500.62

PnL

+$1.08

Record

58%

2058-1520 (3578)

Both legs:

Down$249.3750¢-$249.08

Up$250.4650¢+$250.16

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$45.8

Value

—

PnL

-$45.8

Record

43%

227-296 (523)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$99.72

Value

—

PnL

-$64.73

Record

53%

1273-1127 (2400)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$13.82

Value

$49.95

PnL

+$36.13

Record

50%

149-151 (300)

Invested

$8.59

Value

$8.6

PnL

+$0.01

Record

47%

629-703 (1332)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$4.91

Value

$8.77

PnL

+$3.86

Record

38%

718-1188 (1906)

Invested

$2.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$7.2

Record

74%

773-277 (1050)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$3.85

Value

$10

PnL

+$6.15

Record

—

0xd8f1...74a9<$100

Invested

$3.86

Value

$5.36

PnL

+$1.5

Record

—

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$2.1

Value

$10

PnL

+$7.9

Record

44%

1012-1265 (2277)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.8

Record

—

38791873984189<$100

Invested

$0.98

Value

$1

PnL

+$0.02

Record

48%

1454-1600 (3054)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$20.98

Value

—

PnL

-$17.98

Record

60%

2627-1728 (4355)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3febe9b0...998258

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794453300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $49.95

0x50f7

Up — $8.6

antsaslyku

Up — $8.77

BoneOhio

Up — $10

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $10

0xd8f1...74a9

Up — $5.36

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $10

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