Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 88%
$93.15
-$73.54
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 69.1¢ | $105.24 | $93.15 | -$12.09 | 53% 1273-1127 (2400) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $24.28 | — | -$19.43 | — |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.8¢ | $11.33 | — | -$11.33 | 50% 149-151 (300) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $7.3 | — | -$7.3 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $2.21 | — | -$2.21 | 46% 569-681 (1250) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $0.98 | — | -$0.98 | 48% 1454-1600 (3054) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.8¢ | $20 | — | -$20 | 60% 2627-1728 (4355) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 38% 718-1188 (1906) |
Invested
$105.24
Value
$93.15
PnL
-$12.09
Record
53%
1273-1127 (2400)
Invested
$24.28
Value
—
PnL
-$19.43
Record
—
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$11.33
Value
—
PnL
-$11.33
Record
50%
149-151 (300)
Invested
$7.3
Value
—
PnL
-$7.3
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
Invested
$2.21
Value
—
PnL
-$2.21
Record
46%
569-681 (1250)
Invested
$0.98
Value
—
PnL
-$0.98
Record
48%
1454-1600 (3054)
Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$20
Record
60%
2627-1728 (4355)
Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
38%
718-1188 (1906)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $93.15
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
38791873984189
CTRUp — $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp — $0
antsaslyku
CTRUp — $0