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UpDown
ohioismCTR<$100DownDown
BoneOhioCTR<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 86%
Total Value
$29.23
Combined PnL
-$33.97
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$29.23
Total Shares29
Combined PnL+$3.95
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares92
Combined PnL-$37.92
Up — 14%Down — 86%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 77.5¢ | $25.28 | $29.23 | +$3.95 | 53% 1258-1114 (2372) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.1¢ | $30.66 | — | -$30.66 | 48% 1430-1573 (3003) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 48% 1014-1081 (2095) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.76 | — | -$2.76 | 60% 2617-1724 (4341) |
BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 73% 753-272 (1025) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 58% 2028-1497 (3525) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 709-1165 (1874) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$25.28
Value
$29.23
PnL
+$3.95
Record
53%
1258-1114 (2372)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$30.66
Value
—
PnL
-$30.66
Record
48%
1430-1573 (3003)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
48%
1014-1081 (2095)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$2.76
Value
—
PnL
-$2.76
Record
60%
2617-1724 (4341)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
73%
753-272 (1025)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
58%
2028-1497 (3525)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
709-1165 (1874)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd364668a...68bc8d
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794447000