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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 36%

Total Value

$746.93

Combined PnL

$15.02

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$746.93
Total Shares747
Combined PnL+$239.59
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares625
Combined PnL-$224.57
Down — 64%Up — 36%
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down

Invested

$236.37

Value

$318.41

PnL

+$82.05

Record

50%

1263-1254 (2517)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down

Invested

$88.06

Value

$182.74

PnL

+$94.68

Record

60%

2597-1705 (4302)

UN
uninformedfloww
Down

Invested

$76.24

Value

$105.78

PnL

+$29.54

Record

49%

706-726 (1432)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$26.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$23.5

Record

53%

1206-1070 (2276)

MO
mo-money<$100
Down

Invested

$26.7

Value

$30

PnL

+$3.3

Record

45%

619-745 (1364)

AL
almach<$100
Down

Invested

$26.65

Value

$30

PnL

+$3.35

Record

46%

613-725 (1338)

BO
bosona<$100
Down

Invested

$26.83

Value

$30

PnL

+$3.17

Record

50%

3845-3861 (7706)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.19

Value

—

PnL

-$6.19

Record

44%

945-1197 (2142)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.16

Value

—

PnL

-$1.16

Record

48%

962-1040 (2002)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR
Up

Invested

$217.12

Value

—

PnL

-$217.12

Record

37%

435-728 (1163)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

38%

687-1125 (1812)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x7e4496c9...8622da
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794437100

Traders in this Market

0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $318.41

+$82.05
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $182.74

+$94.68
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $105.78

+$29.54
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $50

+$23.5
MO

mo-money

Down — $30

+$3.3
AL

almach

Down — $30

+$3.35
BO

bosona

Down — $30

+$3.17

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.19

ohioism

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.16
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Up — $0

-$217.12
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