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UpDownDownDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$86
Combined PnL
-$86.83
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$86
Total Shares86
Combined PnL+$3
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares212
Combined PnL-$89.83
Up — 17%Down — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 71.9¢ | $83 | $86 | +$3 | 53% 1194-1050 (2244) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $11.75 | — | -$11.75 | 49% 683-704 (1387) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $13 | — | -$8.1 | 58% 1912-1406 (3318) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.8¢ | $6.5 | — | -$6.5 | 38% 680-1107 (1787) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.5¢ | $36 | — | -$36 | 60% 2590-1698 (4288) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 42.1¢ | $27.48 | — | -$27.48 | 50% 1247-1236 (2483) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$83
Value
$86
PnL
+$3
Record
53%
1194-1050 (2244)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$11.75
Value
—
PnL
-$11.75
Record
49%
683-704 (1387)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$13
Value
—
PnL
-$8.1
Record
58%
1912-1406 (3318)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$6.5
Value
—
PnL
-$6.5
Record
38%
680-1107 (1787)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$36
Value
—
PnL
-$36
Record
60%
2590-1698 (4288)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$27.48
Value
—
PnL
-$27.48
Record
50%
1247-1236 (2483)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x33a397f0...635a3f
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794434400