Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Up 57%
$112.42
-$229.91
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 78.4¢ | $83.27 | $56.29 | -$26.98 | 53% 1020-898 (1918) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 43.5¢ | $24.82 | $51.13 | +$26.31 | 61% 2518-1634 (4152) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 52.4¢ | $226.63 | — | -$222.29 | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $7.7 | — | -$7.7 | 58% 1605-1176 (2781) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.45 | $5 | +$2.55 | 48% 1286-1384 (2670) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.11 | — | -$1.11 | 38% 369-603 (972) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 48% 807-866 (1673) |
Invested
$83.27
Value
$56.29
PnL
-$26.98
Record
53%
1020-898 (1918)
Invested
$24.82
Value
$51.13
PnL
+$26.31
Record
61%
2518-1634 (4152)
Invested
$226.63
Value
—
PnL
-$222.29
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
Invested
$7.7
Value
—
PnL
-$7.7
Record
58%
1605-1176 (2781)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.55
Record
48%
1286-1384 (2670)
Invested
$1.11
Value
—
PnL
-$1.11
Record
38%
369-603 (972)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
48%
807-866 (1673)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $56.29
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $51.13
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
38791873984189
Down — $5
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
CTRUp — $0