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DownDownUpUpUp
ohioismCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 71%
Total Value
$49.97
Combined PnL
-$18.92
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$49.97
Total Shares50
Combined PnL+$7.4
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares73
Combined PnL-$26.32
Down — 29%Up — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 76.9¢ | $37.23 | $42.44 | +$5.21 | 53% 969-866 (1835) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $5.35 | $7.53 | +$2.18 | 58% 1531-1106 (2637) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.8¢ | $19.7 | — | -$19.7 | 51% 933-914 (1847) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 39% 572-895 (1467) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.3¢ | $2.82 | — | -$2.82 | 48% 1257-1350 (2607) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 48% 779-832 (1611) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 61% 2482-1593 (4075) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$37.23
Value
$42.44
PnL
+$5.21
Record
53%
969-866 (1835)
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
$5.35
Value
$7.53
PnL
+$2.18
Record
58%
1531-1106 (2637)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$19.7
Value
—
PnL
-$19.7
Record
51%
933-914 (1847)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
39%
572-895 (1467)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$2.82
Value
—
PnL
-$2.82
Record
48%
1257-1350 (2607)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
48%
779-832 (1611)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
61%
2482-1593 (4075)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3f5647cd...2fd73c
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794391200