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DownDownUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 75%
Total Value
$56
Combined PnL
-$33.85
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares99
Combined PnL-$77.42
Up2 traders
Total Value$56
Total Shares56
Combined PnL+$43.57
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 76.4¢ | $48.6 | — | -$48.6 | 51% 933-914 (1847) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 75.3¢ | $25.3 | — | -$25.3 | 53% 969-866 (1835) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 22.2¢ | $12.43 | $56 | +$43.57 | 61% 2482-1593 (4075) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $3.53 | — | -$3.53 | 48% 1257-1350 (2607) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 58% 1531-1106 (2637) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$48.6
Value
—
PnL
-$48.6
Record
51%
933-914 (1847)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$25.3
Value
—
PnL
-$25.3
Record
53%
969-866 (1835)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$12.43
Value
$56
PnL
+$43.57
Record
61%
2482-1593 (4075)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$3.53
Value
—
PnL
-$3.53
Record
48%
1257-1350 (2607)
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
1531-1106 (2637)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4ed45fca...a9fbf0
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794389400