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UpDownUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$58.42
Combined PnL
-$12.71
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$58.42
Total Shares58
Combined PnL-$3.02
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares247
Combined PnL-$9.69
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 83.2¢ | $54.72 | $53.06 | -$1.66 | 53% 931-840 (1771) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.9¢ | $3.86 | — | -$3.86 | 61% 2461-1569 (4030) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $8.8 | $5.36 | -$1.35 | 58% 1473-1061 (2534) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 48% 1202-1284 (2486) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.5¢ | $3.38 | — | -$3.38 | 50% 917-899 (1816) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$54.72
Value
$53.06
PnL
-$1.66
Record
53%
931-840 (1771)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$3.86
Value
—
PnL
-$3.86
Record
61%
2461-1569 (4030)
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
$8.8
Value
$5.36
PnL
-$1.35
Record
58%
1473-1061 (2534)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
48%
1202-1284 (2486)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$3.38
Value
—
PnL
-$3.38
Record
50%
917-899 (1816)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4731067b...083816
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794383100