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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 56%

Total Value

$176.87

Combined PnL

-$69.98

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$176.87

Total Shares177

Combined PnL+$36.21

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares187

Combined PnL-$106.2

Down — 40%Up — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 67.7¢	$71.11	$104.99	+$33.89	59% 2978-2074 (5052)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	$63.41	—	-$63.41	51% 10467-9935 (20402)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 67.5¢	$33.92	$31.88	-$2.04	67% 102499-50810 (153309)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 54.8¢	$27.19	$31.47	+$4.28	65% 114535-61562 (176097)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 45.2¢	$26.08	—	-$26.08	56% 77345-59726 (137071)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 32.8¢	$6.56	—	-$6.56	63% 42391-25095 (67486)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$8.44	$8.53	+$0.09	89% 29224-3554 (32778)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 31.5¢	$4.42	—	-$4.42	61% 46036-29200 (75236)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 19¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	58% 63234-46452 (109686)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 27¢	$5.67	—	-$5.67	49% 10571-11222 (21793)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$71.11

Value

$104.99

PnL

+$33.89

Record

59%

2978-2074 (5052)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$63.41

Value

—

PnL

-$63.41

Record

51%

10467-9935 (20402)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$33.92

Value

$31.88

PnL

-$2.04

Record

67%

102499-50810 (153309)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$27.19

Value

$31.47

PnL

+$4.28

Record

65%

114535-61562 (176097)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$26.08

Value

—

PnL

-$26.08

Record

56%

77345-59726 (137071)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$6.56

Value

—

PnL

-$6.56

Record

63%

42391-25095 (67486)

Invested

$8.44

Value

$8.53

PnL

+$0.09

Record

89%

29224-3554 (32778)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$4.42

Value

—

PnL

-$4.42

Record

61%

46036-29200 (75236)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

58%

63234-46452 (109686)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$5.67

Value

—

PnL

-$5.67

Record

49%

10571-11222 (21793)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd057b6d2...92a19e

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1793997900

Traders in this Market

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $104.99

ply-pm2

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $31.88

antsaslyku

Down — $31.47

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

hoodquant

Down — $8.53

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

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