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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 88%

Total Value

$158.6

Combined PnL

-$128.04

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down2 traders

Total Value$158.6

Total Shares159

Combined PnL+$100.74

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares343

Combined PnL-$228.78

Down — 22%Up — 78%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 36.7¢	$58.27	$158.6	+$100.33	59% 2969-2065 (5034)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 59.3¢	$74.55	—	-$74.55	67% 102458-50758 (153216)
PL ply-pm2CTR	Upavg 38.4¢	$106.89	—	-$106.89	51% 10412-9893 (20305)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$26.12	—	-$26.12	65% 114511-61547 (176058)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 26.5¢	$3.18	—	-$3.18	56% 77327-59680 (137007)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 76¢	$7.6	—	-$7.6	63% 42374-25068 (67442)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 75¢	$7.5	—	-$7.5	61% 46015-29175 (75190)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 29.4¢	$2.94	—	-$2.94	56% 60462-47011 (107473)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$40.59	—	+$0.41	89% 29171-3554 (32725)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$58.27

Value

$158.6

PnL

+$100.33

Record

59%

2969-2065 (5034)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$74.55

Value

—

PnL

-$74.55

Record

67%

102458-50758 (153216)

Invested

$106.89

Value

—

PnL

-$106.89

Record

51%

10412-9893 (20305)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$26.12

Value

—

PnL

-$26.12

Record

65%

114511-61547 (176058)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$3.18

Value

—

PnL

-$3.18

Record

56%

77327-59680 (137007)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$7.6

Value

—

PnL

-$7.6

Record

63%

42374-25068 (67442)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$7.5

Value

—

PnL

-$7.5

Record

61%

46015-29175 (75190)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$2.94

Value

—

PnL

-$2.94

Record

56%

60462-47011 (107473)

Invested

$40.59

Value

—

PnL

+$0.41

Record

89%

29171-3554 (32725)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf1a6ad87...b04d52

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1793991600

Traders in this Market

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $158.6

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

hoodquant

Down — $0

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