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UnderUnderOverOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Spezia Calcio vs. Vado FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 60%
Total Value
$7.87
Combined PnL
-$272.34
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares661
Combined PnL-$274.78
Over2 traders
Total Value$7.87
Total Shares8
Combined PnL+$2.44
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 42.4¢ | $266.37 | — | -$266.37 | 49% 4676-4943 (9619) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 18¢ | $6.46 | — | -$6.46 | 47% 1199-1376 (2575) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 61¢ | $3.05 | $5 | +$1.95 | 83% 289-60 (349) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 83¢ | $2.38 | $2.87 | +$0.49 | 46% 3282-3819 (7101) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 39¢ | $1.95 | — | -$1.95 | 48% 2555-2763 (5318) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$266.37
Value
—
PnL
-$266.37
Record
49%
4676-4943 (9619)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$6.46
Value
—
PnL
-$6.46
Record
47%
1199-1376 (2575)
VA
Vampiro1<$100Invested
$3.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.95
Record
83%
289-60 (349)
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$2.38
Value
$2.87
PnL
+$0.49
Record
46%
3282-3819 (7101)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
—
PnL
-$1.95
Record
48%
2555-2763 (5318)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaae58138...0125ac
Slug
serc-spe-vad-2026-11-15-total-1pt5