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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Under β€” but Over won instead.

US Sambenedettese vs. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved Over. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

6

Under 33%

Total Value

$635.9

Combined PnL

$311.99

Smart Money Signal

Under

2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over4 traders
Total Value$635.9
Total Shares636
Combined PnL+$291.76
Under2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares549
Combined PnL+$20.23
Over β€” 67%Under β€” 33%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x2df3620a...336cd2
Slug
serc-sam-mon-2026-11-08-total-2pt5
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