Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.
US Salernitana vs. Catania FC: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Under 88%
$31.61
-$36.24
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Overavg 99Β’ | $31.29 | $31.61 | +$0.32 | 99% 664-9 (673) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 23.2Β’ | $13.4 | β | -$13.4 | 49% 4676-4943 (9619) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 25.1Β’ | $10.55 | β | -$10.55 | 38% 1354-2191 (3545) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 15.3Β’ | $4.83 | β | -$4.83 | 52% 2494-2286 (4780) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 10Β’ | $2.14 | β | -$2.14 | 38% 1332-2185 (3517) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 29Β’ | $3.34 | β | -$3.34 | 38% 1354-2217 (3571) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 18Β’ | $1.76 | β | -$1.76 | 35% 635-1160 (1795) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 14Β’ | $0.55 | β | -$0.55 | 54% 6019-5096 (11115) |
Invested
$31.29
Value
$31.61
PnL
+$0.32
Record
99%
664-9 (673)
Invested
$13.4
Value
β
PnL
-$13.4
Record
49%
4676-4943 (9619)
Invested
$10.55
Value
β
PnL
-$10.55
Record
38%
1354-2191 (3545)
Invested
$4.83
Value
β
PnL
-$4.83
Record
52%
2494-2286 (4780)
Invested
$2.14
Value
β
PnL
-$2.14
Record
38%
1332-2185 (3517)
Invested
$3.34
Value
β
PnL
-$3.34
Record
38%
1354-2217 (3571)
Invested
$1.76
Value
β
PnL
-$1.76
Record
35%
635-1160 (1795)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$0.55
Value
β
PnL
-$0.55
Record
54%
6019-5096 (11115)